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Heatwave days

Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days, across Malawi’s districts, from the 1981–2010 baseline to future climate scenarios.

5 districts · Baseline 1981–2010 · SSP2-4.5 & SSP5-8.5

Explore by district

Heatwave days by district

Select a district to see its historical baseline and projected values under two climate scenarios.

Malawi regions and districts reference map
Malawi regions and districts reference map

106 days
Historical baseline (1981–2010)
Average number of heatwave days recorded in Chikwawa district over the 1981–2010 reference period.
Scenario 2040 2060 2080
Baseline (1981–2010) 106 days
Business as usual (SSP2-4.5) 102 d 138 d 133 d
Tech- & fossil-fuelled boom (SSP5-8.5) 113 d 166 d 165 d
Heatwave days map, Chikwawa, baseline 1981–2010
Figure 1. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days recorded during the historical baseline years (1981-2010).
Heatwave days projections chart, Chikwawa
Figure 2. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days for both SSP2-4.5(green) and SSP5-8.5(purple). The dashed lines are the linear trends of the ensemble means for SSP members.
11 days
Historical baseline (1981–2010)
Average number of heatwave days recorded in Rumphi district over the 1981–2010 reference period.
Scenario 2040 2060 2080
Baseline (1981–2010) 11 days
Business as usual (SSP2-4.5) 14 d 36 d 37 d
Tech- & fossil-fuelled boom (SSP5-8.5) 26 d 45 d 60 d
Heatwave days map, Rumphi, baseline 1981–2010
Figure 1. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days recorded during the historical baseline years (1981-2010).
Heatwave days projections chart, Rumphi
Figure 2. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days for both SSP2-4.5(green) and SSP5-8.5(purple). The dashed lines are the linear trends of the ensemble means for SSP members.
3 days
Historical baseline (1981–2010)
Average number of heatwave days recorded in Phalombe district over the 1981–2010 reference period.
Scenario 2040 2060 2080
Baseline (1981–2010) 3 days
Business as usual (SSP2-4.5) 3 d 18 d 12 d
Tech- & fossil-fuelled boom (SSP5-8.5) 9 d 32 d 34 d
Heatwave days map, Phalombe, baseline 1981–2010
Figure 1. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days recorded during the historical baseline years (1981-2010).
Heatwave days projections chart, Phalombe
Figure 2. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days for both SSP2-4.5(green) and SSP5-8.5(purple). The dashed lines are the linear trends of the ensemble means for SSP members.
125 days
Historical baseline (1981–2010)
Average number of heatwave days recorded in Balaka district over the 1981–2010 reference period.
Scenario 2040 2060 2080
Baseline (1981–2010) 125 days
Business as usual (SSP2-4.5) 129 d 106 d 112 d
Tech- & fossil-fuelled boom (SSP5-8.5) 127 d 113 d 118 d
Heatwave days map, Balaka, baseline 1981–2010
Figure 1. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days recorded during the historical baseline years (1981-2010).
Heatwave days projections chart, Balaka
Figure 2. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days for both SSP2-4.5(green) and SSP5-8.5(purple). The dashed lines are the linear trends of the ensemble means for SSP members.
38 days
Historical baseline (1981–2010)
Average number of heatwave days recorded in Salima district over the 1981–2010 reference period.
Scenario 2040 2060 2080
Baseline (1981–2010) 38 days
Business as usual (SSP2-4.5) 109 d 113 d 107 d
Tech- & fossil-fuelled boom (SSP5-8.5) 107 d 100 d 96 d
Heatwave days map, Salima, baseline 1981–2010
Figure 1. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days recorded during the historical baseline years (1981-2010).
Heatwave days projections chart, Salima
Figure 2. Heatwave duration: Number of days where 35°C is exceeded for 3 consecutive days for both SSP2-4.5(green) and SSP5-8.5(purple). The dashed lines are the linear trends of the ensemble means for SSP members.
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Data & resources

Climate projections for the eight Agricultural Development Divisions in MalawiPDF · 23 MoNational Adaptation Plan Readiness Project in Malawi – Climate change modelling and climate change risk assessment consultancyPDF · 4,6 Mo