Precipitation

Malawi has experienced significant annual precipitation, which is projected to decrease by the end of the 21st century.

Country : Malawi

Figure 1. Annual total precipitation recorded during the historical baseline years (1991-2020).
Figure 2. Annual total precipitation projections in Malawi for both SSP2-4.5 (yellow) and SSP5-8.5 (pink). The dashed lines are the linear trends of the ensemble means for SSP member. 

Malawi has experienced significant annual precipitation, which is projected to decrease by the end of the 21st century. The table below summarises the future annual precipitation across the country by the 2080s, based on two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs): SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5.

The table below summarises the future annual precipitation across the country by the 2080s, based on two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs): SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. This table represents ensemble means from climate model projections. Actual values vary across models, and results should be interpreted as approximate rather than exact. 

Current average annual precipitation (1981-2010):  982 mm/year

Business as usual (SSP2-4.5)
Average annual precipitation is projected to reach: 
950 mm/year by 2040 
945 mm/year by 2060 
950 mm/year by 2080 
Tech- and fossil-fuelled boom (SSP5-8.5)Average annual precipitation is projected to reach: 
952 mm/year by 2040 
978 mm/year by 2060 
984 mm/year by 2080

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